Indo Us Nuke Deal
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Indo-US Nuclear Deal
Overview
The Indian government should proceed with the nuclear deal with the United States, despite opposition from the left, as it offers significant benefits to India. The threat from the left to withdraw support from the Manmohan Singh-led government might ultimately be hollow, particularly due to the BJP's position.
Article
A wise observation once noted that the greatest threat to India often comes from within rather than from external forces. This sentiment rings true in light of the recent uproar stirred by the left and the BJP over the Indo-US nuclear deal, which is now at its final stage.
The Indo-US nuclear agreement wasn't formulated overnight. It has been a three-year process involving extensive discussions, expert evaluations, and eventual cabinet approval. For years, both the left and the right (BJP) remained silent on the matter. Now, as the deal nears completion, the left has suddenly opposed it, threatening to withdraw from the coalition government unless the deal is scrapped. In response, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh firmly stated that the deal stands and will not be renegotiated. He even challenged the left to follow through on their threat to leave the government.
Seizing the chance to destabilize the government, the BJP encouraged the left to act on their threat, taunting them to "bite" rather than just "bark." However, senior CPM leader Jyoti Basu hinted that the government wouldn't fall, ruling out any mid-term elections. This seemed to settle the matter for the BJP, which then moderated its criticism of the deal. Historically, the BJP has shown a pro-American inclination, and a sudden shift in policy to counter the Congress party might not sit well with its supporters, who largely favor the deal. The same goes for many on the left.
Experts assure that the deal does not compromise India's sovereignty. Although the left expresses concern about ambiguous clauses potentially unfavorable to India, one wonders why these were not addressed earlier. The deal was open to scrutiny in both India and the United States. Instead of acting, it seems the left awaited guidance from China, its ally. China and its nuclear partner, Pakistan, view the Indo-US deal with discomfort. China, eager to assert dominance in Asia and play a "big brother" role, resents India's rise as a superpower and has supported Pakistan's nuclear ambitions since India’s first nuclear test in 1974.
Should the Indo-US nuclear deal be finalized, it promises substantial advantages for India's national interests. The lifting of three-decade-old technology sanctions will follow, imposed after India’s 1974 nuclear test. This will boost nuclear technology and material trade, aiding India’s goal of generating 20,000 MW of power by 2020. As India seeks economic growth, cheaper nuclear energy is a favorable alternative to costly oil and gas imports. Additionally, aligning with the nuclear suppliers’ group will enhance India's industry and trade, contributing to its dream of becoming an economic superpower. Failure to finalize the deal, however, would please China and deprive India of these benefits, harming its international credibility.
Prime Minister Singh likely realizes that the left’s threats may ultimately prove hollow, as the BJP would benefit most from a government collapse in any subsequent elections. The left is unlikely to risk empowering the BJP. Thus, Singh can confidently continue toward finalizing the deal.
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