The Era Of Disaster Recovery And Prevention... And What It Means To Investors

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The Era of Disaster Recovery and Prevention: What It Means for Investors


Overview


The aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita has ushered in a transformative era focused on disaster recovery and prevention. Both governments and citizens are reconsidering how they respond to disasters and exploring proactive measures to prevent or minimize their impact. A significant driver of this change is the political fallout from Katrina.

Political Repercussions


The slow response to Hurricane Katrina damaged the reputation of the Bush administration and resulted in national embarrassment for Michael Brown, the former head of FEMA. The leadership of Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco and New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin also faced scrutiny, with their actions set to influence future elections.

In an effort to amend the response failures and regain political support, President Bush has allocated approximately $200 billion for recovery efforts. Politicians and bureaucrats across federal, state, and local levels are now advocating for increased disaster prevention funding, a sentiment echoed by media reports, especially concerning earthquake preparedness in California.

Infrastructure and Real Estate Challenges


The Army Corps of Engineers is taking steps to address vulnerable infrastructure, spurred by the neglect of their previous recommendations to strengthen New Orleans' levees. Coastal real estate, from Florida to the Hamptons, has seen a boom despite increased risks. Homeowners are investing heavily in protecting these valuable properties as forecasts suggest an increase in the frequency and intensity of storms.

Business Implications


The need for comprehensive disaster recovery and prevention has created opportunities for businesses?"let's call them "Hurricane stocks." These companies are crucial to short- and long-term recovery efforts.

Immediate Relief and Housing Solutions


Companies providing temporary housing and survival gear are in high demand. For example, Jarden's Coleman products like tents and stoves are essential for those displaced. Manufactured home companies, such as Cavalier Homes, have secured contracts with FEMA to supply homes, generating significant revenue.

Other notable companies in this sector include Champion, Fleetwood Enterprises, and Coachmen Industries.

Oil and Gas Sector Repairs


The Gulf Coast's oil and gas facilities, vital to both regional and national economies, require urgent repairs. Companies like ENSCO, Oceaneering International, and Jacobs Engineering are positioned to see increased demand for their services.

Construction and Rebuilding Efforts


The reconstruction of the Gulf Coast involves major construction firms like Halliburton and Caterpillar, alongside numerous subcontractors. The Army Corps of Engineers, for instance, has expanded contracts with companies like Aduddell Roofing and National Storm Management.

Building materials suppliers, including Home Depot and Lowes, are anticipating higher demand, as are timber companies like Rayonier and Plum Creek Timber, which manage timber properties.

Investment Opportunities


While some hurricane-related stocks have seen fluctuations, it's important to recognize that a new era has begun: one where proactive disaster recovery and prevention become priorities. Investors should watch companies central to this emerging theme as they gain prominence in addressing disasters and reducing their impacts globally.

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