You ve Got to Bet the Preakness
Below is a MRR and PLR article in category Recreation Sports -> subcategory Other.
You’ve Got to Bet on the Preakness
Overview
This Saturday, I'm heading back to the sports bar where I watched the Kentucky Derby. If you caught my Derby column, you’ll remember I suggested betting against favorites like Lawyer Ron and Brother Derek, while keeping faith in Barbaro. Although I recommended trying an exacta for a decent payout, Bluegrass Cat ruined my plans?"proving why it's called gambling. But as a sports fan, the Preakness is another must-bet event.
Betting Strategy: Focus on Value
Barbaro impressed in the Kentucky Derby, but is he the surefire winner analysts claim? Perhaps?"but that means betting on him Saturday won't provide much value. He’s likely to start as an even money favorite, and before Smarty Jones won in 2004, it had been 25 years since an odds-on favorite claimed the Preakness. Beware of the "Bounce Factor," as horses often regress after strong races, especially on short rest. Barbaro has never raced with less than five weeks off.
Interestingly, 21 of the last 22 Preakness winners ran in the Kentucky Derby. So, what about Brother Derek and Sweetnorthernsaint? Brother Derek faced major positioning issues in the Derby but still managed fourth place despite losing a shoe. He might showcase the performance expected of him in the Preakness. Sweetnorthernsaint, who became the Derby favorite after late bets, also deserves attention. His Beyer speed figures consistently outperformed Barbaro’s pre-Derby, making him a potential value bet at 4-1.
New Contenders to Watch
Only three Kentucky Derby horses will compete in the Preakness?"a rare occurrence in the last 25 years. This makes a break in the 21-out-of-22 streak more likely. Of the newcomers, Bernardini is considered a top contender. Diabolical, labeled a "Speed Freak," grabs attention, while Like Now might dash to the lead early.
Betting Tips
I’m distributing my $50 across various bets. An exacta featuring Sweetnorthernsaint and Bernardini seems sensible. Although Scrappy T, last year's top fresh horse, came in second, Diabolical could be a worthwhile long shot. If Brother Derek’s odds stay above 3-1, I'll include him in some exacta bets. And if you can’t resist betting on Barbaro, consider placing him in trifectas with some long shots.
Enjoy the race with a drink in hand?"after all, there’s just one more Triple Crown event to go!
You can find the original non-AI version of this article here: You ve Got to Bet the Preakness .
You can browse and read all the articles for free. If you want to use them and get PLR and MRR rights, you need to buy the pack. Learn more about this pack of over 100 000 MRR and PLR articles.