Some Derby Contenders Have a Distinct Advantage
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Some Derby Contenders Have a Distinct Advantage
Summary
For its 132nd edition, the Kentucky Derby will see 3-year-olds race on the iconic Churchill Downs track. Out of over 425 horses nominated for the 2006 Triple Crown, only 20 or fewer will compete.
Article
Certain Derby contenders already have a noticeable edge before they even leave the gates, while others face historical challenges that have persisted for decades.
Take, for instance, the fact that no horse with four or fewer career starts has won since Exterminator in 1918. This doesn't bode well for Showing Up, who recently claimed victory at the Lexington Stakes on April 22.
Additionally, only one horse with two prep races?"Sunny's Halo in 1983?"has won the Derby since 1947. This presents a tough hurdle for contenders like Private Vow and Sharp Humor.
Barbaro, Sharp Humor, and Flashy Bull, who finished 1st, 2nd, and 7th in the Florida Derby, are aiming to become the first horses since Needles in 1956 to win after a layoff of five weeks or more.
Historically, runners from Gulfstream's marquee race that train up to the Derby haven’t fared well when it takes place in April. There have been exceptions: both Northern Dancer in 1964 and Tim Tam in 1958 won in Louisville after participating in other races.
No horse since Proud Clarion in 1967 has won the Derby without a prior stakes victory, which poses challenges for Flashy Bull, Jazil, Mister Triester, Steppenwolfer, and Storm Treasure.
Another obstacle is finishing fifth or worse in the final prep race, a hurdle last cleared by Iron Liege in 1957. This makes things difficult for Deputy Glitters, Flashy Bull, and Seaside Retreat.
A pedigree mixing stamina and speed is a significant advantage. For example, Point Determined is bred for the Derby’s 1 1/4 mile, being from Point Given's first crop. Bob and John, as well as Jazil, are sired by Seeking the Gold, related to Derby winners since 1991.
Winning a mile or longer as a juvenile isn't essential but is beneficial. Horses like Deputy Glitters, Keyed Entry, and others have succeeded without this milestone.
Handling the Churchill Downs surface can be challenging. Arriving early in Louisville and working on the track is crucial. Ideally, horses should have three workouts, with one being marked as "handily," indicating readiness for the stretch.
Ultimately, success depends on which horse can piece it all together and enjoy a smooth trip on May 6.
Bet on the Kentucky Derby and all Triple Crown Races at Wagerweb.com Racebook.
You can find the original non-AI version of this article here: Some Derby Contenders Have a Distinct Advantage.
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