NCAA March Madness
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NCAA March Madness: A Guide to Handicapping
As conference championships approach, it's time to dive into the essentials of filling out your brackets for March Madness. Here’s what you need to know to master sports betting and make informed choices.
Key Strategies for Handicapping College Hoops
Experience Matters
Look for teams with championship experience. In the past five years, 63% of previous champions have returned to the finals. Their ability to handle high-pressure games gives them an edge.Depth is Crucial
Depth is vital in the tournament. Teams with strong benches stay fresher and can maintain performance over multiple games. This advantage is significant as it provides more options and helps manage fouls effectively.Rebounding
Teams that excel in rebounding often control the game's tempo. Second-chance opportunities can be game-changers, and those who dominate the boards frequently progress further in the tournament.Free Throws
Success in free throws often determines the outcome of close games. Teams with high free throw accuracy are more likely to win tight matches, making this an essential factor in your analysis.Intangibles That Can Boost Your Success
Ride the Streak
Teams entering the tournament on a winning streak are worth considering. They tend to play with confidence and capitalize on their momentum. However, if a team is undefeated in conference play, it might be wise to bet against them, both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS).Beware of the Last Team In
The8 seed often faces challenges, having played the #1 seed before. Their familiarity means fewer surprises, reducing the potential for upsets. Historically, they're only 51% ATS, making them a risky bet.
Upsets from the Middle
Teams ranked4-#6 are ripe for upsets. They often face opponents with similar talent levels, making them valuable underdogs. These teams have a smoother path to the conference championship and can be lucrative bets.
The Value of Conference Tournaments
Pay close attention to conference tournaments as they can offer invaluable insights for the Big Dance in March. Observing these games helps identify the teams to watch and strategies to employ when March Madness begins.
For up-to-date insights and discussions, visit the Bang The Book Sports Handicapping Forum.
Stay informed and make smarter bets during the excitement of March Madness!
You can find the original non-AI version of this article here: NCAA March Madness.
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