AOL - MSN Beats Out Google

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AOL-MSN Triumphs Over Google


Overview


MSN might be outpacing Google in the race to partner with AOL. What implications does this hold for AOL, MSN, and Google?

The AOL Situation


AOL, part of Time Warner, has been struggling to stay relevant amid the decline of dial-up internet. Currently, dial-up accounts for roughly 40% of internet usage, a figure steadily dropping as DSL and cable become more popular. This evolution has significant effects on the ongoing search engine competition.

Google is the current leader, with MSN aiming to close the gap. Of particular interest is Google’s existing partnership with AOL, providing ads and search results that contribute about 10% of Google’s revenue.

Potential AOL Sale


In 2005, rumors circulated about AOL being up for sale. Both Google and MSN were considered potential buyers. However, with the decline of dial-up, AOL seemed like a risky long-term investment. The question arose: Would Google risk losing its AOL partnership, or let MSN drive up AOL’s value?

Google's Strategic Misstep


Reports suggest that MSN and Time Warner have come to an agreement regarding AOL. Surprisingly, MSN might acquire a powerful position without spending any money.

By the end of December 2005, MSN and Time Warner are expected to announce a partnership integrating their internet services and joint advertising ventures. As a result, Google could lose its presence on AOL, replaced by MSN’s search results and ads.

The Impact on Google


This development presents a critical oversight by Google. Losing 10% of its business to MSN at no cost is a substantial blow. Google Adwords, a key revenue source, will potentially vanish from AOL. Google’s inability to negotiate a better deal or to make a more compelling offer to AOL is surprising.

While Google remains a top search engine, this scenario highlights recurring strategic missteps. Losing such a significant share of business without a fight raises questions about their decision-making process.

In essence, if MSN successfully pulls off this maneuver, one might wonder about the strategic direction at Google and whether they have underestimated the competitive landscape.

You can find the original non-AI version of this article here: AOL - MSN Beats Out Google.

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