Understanding Bonds To Avoid Risk

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Understanding Bonds to Minimize Risk


Summary


Investing in bonds can be complex, with many factors to consider. It's essential to evaluate the potential risks and calculate your returns before purchasing bonds.

1. Assess All Potential Risks


Pay close attention to every detail, such as interest rates, inflation, and the liquidity of the bond.

2. Credit Risks


No matter which bond you choose, credit risk is always present. Even U.S. Treasuries, once deemed the safest, faced potential default in 1995. Corporate and municipal bonds carry even higher risks, ranging from high-grade (AAA) to junk status.

3. Bond Evaluation Checklist


Consider these key factors:

- Your earning potential
- Current earnings per share
- Typical dividend payments
- Outstanding debt levels
- Possible technological changes impacting the bond
- Management’s track record

4. Dividends


Increasing debt loads can lead to higher interest expenses, reducing funds available for other investments and increasing the risk of default.

5. Interest Rates


Many bonds have maturities of 5-30 years. Changes in prevailing interest rates can impact their value. If rates rise, bond prices generally fall, as new investors will seek higher returns elsewhere. This creates pressure to sell, increasing opportunity costs for existing bondholders.

6. Coping with Inflation


Inflation erodes the value of bonds, reducing returns. An 8% bond yield in a 4% inflation environment effectively halves the bond's real value. Historically, inflation tends to rise more than it falls. When inflation decreases, the economy often struggles, impacting all investments. Always be aware of inflation rates and market conditions before investing.

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