Stock Research And Market To Be Affected Big Time Post November Election
Below is a MRR and PLR article in category Finance -> subcategory Wealth Building.
Stock Market Set for Turbulence Post-November Election
Summary:
While stock research often emphasizes picking the right stocks regardless of market conditions, historical trends suggest market dynamics can override even the best research. With the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting 12,000 for the first time, questions arise about the market's future direction amidst prevailing uncertainties.
Main Article:
Historically, stock research has stressed choosing the right stocks, implying that individual choices matter more than market trends. However, history shows that even the best stock research can't counteract a declining market.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recently surpassed 12,000, a significant milestone since its inception. The looming question is whether it will continue to climb or face a downturn. Markets historically abhor uncertainty, preferring predictable challenges over unknowns.
A major source of uncertainty is the direction of the Iraq conflict, which is straining the nation's social fabric. Presidents typically face limited patience from the public regarding wars. Initially, public support rallies around a President, but this support wanes over time. This pattern was evident with Harry Truman during the Korean War and Lyndon Johnson’s struggles in Vietnam. Similarly, Jimmy Carter's presidency was marred by the Iranian hostage crisis.
President Bush is now in a precarious position due to the ongoing issues in Iraq. Insiders suggest he faces difficult choices, as the aspirations for democracy have not resonated with the Iraqi people. For groups like the Kurds, Shia, and Sunnis, allegiance lies within their own factions rather than a collective democratic vision.
The Way Forward:
The Iraq Study Group (ISG), led by James Baker and Lee Hamilton, aims to provide strategies for navigating the Iraq situation. While the group's public goals may vary, its true purpose is to offer the President political cover for implementing change.
If President Bush utilizes the ISG's recommendations wisely, he could alter current policies effectively. With Democrats potentially taking control of the House or even the Senate, swift action is crucial. Should a shift occur, congressional control over military funding could constrain the President's options. The ISG's proposals might offer alternatives to avoid further entanglement.
One key question is why U.S. troop levels in Iraq remain at 140,000 despite the growth of Iraqi police and military forces. Another concern is how to exit Iraq without allowing Iran to gain influence.
Market Implications:
The President is faced with a dilemma: choosing between unattractive options. Quick action post-election is vital to adapt to potential changes in Congress. Market uncertainty could prompt a downturn unless decisive steps are taken. Engaging with Syria and Iran, despite tensions, might become necessary to stabilize the region.
As the experiment in Iraqi democracy closes its window of opportunity, the past decisions to disband military and police forces are increasingly seen as missteps. The anticipated ISG recommendations post-election will serve as a chance for strategic redirection. Should President Bush seize this opportunity, the stock market may continue to thrive. If not, the future remains uncertain.
Best Wishes,
Richard Stoyeck
[stocksatbottom.com](http://www.stocksatbottom.com)
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