Real Estate Market Reaches Equilibrium between Buyers and Sellers

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Real Estate Market Achieves Balance Between Buyers and Sellers


Summary:

The U.S. housing market is experiencing a rare balance between buyers and sellers, a first in eight years, with exceptions in the Northeast, Western states, and Chicago metro area.

Overview:

The Current Market Conditions survey conducted three months ago indicated a balance between buyer demand and seller supply in the U.S. housing market, a phenomenon not seen in eight years. The latest quarterly survey confirms this equilibrium: 41% of real estate agents observed more buyers than sellers, 40% saw more sellers than buyers, and 19% reported an even split.

Regional Variations:

Notable exceptions exist in certain areas. Homebuyers significantly outnumber sellers in the Chicago metro area and the Western states, while sellers outpace buyers in the Northeast.

National Statistics:

The National Association of Realtors reported a 6.5-month supply of unsold homes in May, signaling a balanced market. Typically, an inventory supply of 5.5 to 6.0 months is considered balanced.

Key Findings:

- Market Timing: 56% of real estate agents state it now takes over 60 days to sell a home from listing to contract, up from 55% in the first quarter and 35% last year. Additionally, 28% report this process takes over 90 days, with only 15% of homes selling in 30 days or fewer.

- Inventory Levels: Home availability is increasing, with 86% of agents reporting a good supply across price ranges, up from 81% in the first quarter and 38% last year.

- Home Price Changes: Annual home price appreciation has slowed to 5% or less according to 66% of agents, down from last year’s 8-10%. Home prices appreciating more than 10% are now 16% on average.

- Asking Price Realization: The percentage of sellers receiving 95% or more of their asking price has decreased to 68%, down from 90% a year ago.

- Multiple Offers: Multiple offers received by home sellers are significantly lower, currently at 32%, compared to 39% in the first quarter and 70% last year.

- First-Time Buyers: These buyers account for one-third of home sales nationwide, despite rising mortgage and interest rates having minimal negative effects on them, except for marginal buyers.

Industry Insights:

Michael Bearden, President and CEO of HouseHunt, Inc., welcomes this balanced market, emphasizing that unsustainable double-digit price appreciation could deter entry-level buyers.

Second Quarter Regional Results:

- More Buyers: Nationwide 41%, South 40%, Midwest 49%, Northeast 30%, West 47%, California 39%, Chicago 50%.

- More Sellers: Nationwide 40%, South 44%, Midwest 30%, Northeast 50%, West 34%, California 41%, Chicago 19%.

- Balanced (50-50): Nationwide 19%, South 16%, Midwest 21%, Northeast 20%, West 19%, California 20%, Chicago 31%.

This equilibrium in the real estate market offers a stable and orderly environment for both consumers and professionals. The survey suggests continuous monitoring and adjustments as regional disparities might still impact specific areas differently.

Note: California data is included in both the U.S. and West results; Chicago Metro data is part of U.S. and Midwest results.

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