Playing the Better Trades Earnings Cycle

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Mastering the Earnings Cycle: Strategies for Better Trades


Introduction


The earnings season offers unique opportunities for traders. Starting with ALCOA as the signal for the DOW's earnings kickoff, the season sees hundreds of companies reporting daily. While not all companies captivate traders, many well-known names report over the course of three weeks, creating significant market activity.

Understanding Market Impact


Earnings reports can significantly influence market dynamics. Companies delivering positive news may see immediate benefits if they stand out amidst numerous reports. Conversely, even strong earnings might be overshadowed by broader market momentum.

Steps to Navigate Earnings Season


1. Identify Report Dates


Knowing a company’s earnings release date is crucial. Although this information is available on multiple platforms, it’s best to confirm directly through a company’s investor relations department for accuracy. For instance, to check General Electric’s report date, a call to their investor relations confirmed it would be October 25th.

2. Timing Matters


The time of day a company releases earnings is important. Some companies have a standard policy of reporting after market close, like GE. Be aware that accounting issues can delay reports, affecting your play.

3. Deciding to Play


Novice traders should practice before engaging in earnings plays. Guesswork can be risky since market reactions often defy expectations. Engage in mock trading accounts to hone skills without financial risk.

4. Historical Patterns


Examine the historical behavior of a stock around earnings. Patterns like pre-announcement run-ups or post-announcement gaps can guide your strategy but don't guarantee future movements.

5. Option Pricing Insights


Options pricing can hint at market expectations. High volatility increases time premiums, which may decrease significantly post-earnings, potentially affecting the value of long positions.

6. Mind the Dates


Consider how the timing of earnings relates to options expiration. Short-term plays might benefit from depressed premiums, offering strategic entry and exit points.

7. Strategic Approaches


The riskiest earnings play involves a one-sided long call or put, suitable only for disposable funds. Safer approaches include combinations like strangles or straddles, allowing for agility post-announcement.

Case in Point


Consider RIMM’s scenario as an example. A Long Strangle with $80 puts and $90 calls was chosen due to pricing biases. The subsequent price surge allowed for substantial profit, demonstrating strategic execution in live market conditions.

Conclusion


Earnings season requires both awareness and strategy. Avoid being caught off guard by thoroughly understanding market dynamics and company schedules. Consider attending training sessions like the Traders Forge for skill development, and utilize free workshops to enhance your understanding of trading strategies.

Have fun during earnings season, but ensure you're well-prepared to manage risks effectively. Remember, practice makes perfect?"with the right training.

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Ryan with Better Trades invites you to explore more through our courses and web workshops. Let’s make this earnings season both educational and rewarding!

You can find the original non-AI version of this article here: Playing the Better Trades Earnings Cycle.

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