Capital Markets driving the cost of Mortgages

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How Capital Markets Influence Mortgage Costs


Interest rates and borrowing are hot topics currently. Banks are maintaining high rates due to perceived risks, largely influenced by the cost of interbank lending.

How Mortgages Are Funded


Mortgages are primarily funded through a variety of sources, including individual deposits, savings, and other investments, all part of the capital markets. Since consumer deposits alone aren't sufficient to support the mortgage market, the majority of funding comes from investors buying debt instruments, mainly bonds.

Investor Dynamics


Investors purchasing these bonds seek good returns, which contrasts with the desires of individuals looking for low-rate mortgages. Essentially, when you secure a mortgage, you're borrowing from investors at a specific rate. Investors are only willing to commit a certain amount of capital to bonds with lower yields.

Fluctuations in Mortgage Rates


Mortgage rates fluctuate based on the performance of 'mortgage bonds'. High sales can lower yields, while low sales boost yields to attract investors back. For mortgage holders, this means that as investors exit the bond market, mortgage interest rates tend to increase.

External Influences


While mortgage rates are influenced by supply and demand, inflation is a significant factor. Low inflation results in high returns for investors, whereas high inflation devalues investments and mortgages. A $120,000 mortgage may feel less burdensome if inflation rises.

Inflation control is achieved by adjusting interest rates. When inflation is high, interest rates rise, leading to increased mortgage repayments.

Impact of Sub-Prime Lending


The sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US affected global markets. Billions were lost because many related bonds were sold to banks worldwide. In the US, many accessed homes through these mortgages, but defaults caused significant problems internationally, especially for banks in the UK, Hong Kong, Germany, and France.

The resulting market collapse left banks with unrecoupable losses and investors exited the bond market. This made new mortgages scarce and more expensive. To stimulate the market, interest rates were lowered, but lenders have kept bond rates high to ensure better returns due to perceived increased risks.

In summary, the interplay between capital markets and inflation, combined with recent financial crises, plays a crucial role in shaping mortgage costs. Understanding these dynamics can offer insights into the fluctuating nature of mortgage interest rates.

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