How to Spot Market Turning Points Using Free Legal Insider Information

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How to Identify Market Turning Points with Free Legal Insider Information


Overview


Imagine trading alongside the most successful energy, stock, and commodity traders using insider insights. With the Commitment of Traders (COT) report from the CFTC, you can do just that. This report reveals professional hedgers' trading positions and is a powerful tool for predicting market tops and bottoms with precision.

Understanding the Commitment of Traders Report


The COT report, legally available for futures markets, covers stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities. It categorizes open interest into three groups:

1. Commercials: Companies that own and trade the commodity for business purposes.
2. Large Speculators: Typically funds or asset managers holding large positions.
3. Small Speculators: Mostly individual traders with smaller positions.

How Emotions Influence Markets


Markets often experience dramatic price shifts due to crowd psychology driven by greed and fear. Traders frequently push prices beyond fair value, leading to potential counter-trend opportunities.

Leveraging COT Data


The COT report breaks down emotional trading patterns:

- Commercials: Trade without emotion to hedge risk. They have superior fundamental information and tend to counteract price spikes. Large-scale selling in a bull market or buying in a bear market by commercials often signals an upcoming trend change.

- Large Speculators: Mainly funds with a mixed track record. They often follow trends but get caught off guard at major turning points, resulting in losses.

- Small Speculators: Typically wrong at major market shifts due to emotional trading based on hope, greed, and fear.

Utilizing the COT Report for Trading


To make the most of this data, focus on significant movements by commercials. Ignore minor shifts as they often own the commodity. When you see commercials making aggressive moves opposite to small and large speculators, it's a strong indication of prices moving away from fair value. Use this insight along with technical tools to time your market entries.

Conclusion


By aligning with commercial traders?"savvy and well-informed market participants?"you can anticipate major trend changes effectively. Trust the professionals and see the difference in your trading outcomes.

Trade smart. Trade informed. Trade with the insight of commercials.

You can find the original non-AI version of this article here: How to Spot Market Turning Points Using Free Legal Insider Information.

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