Discovering Turnaround Candidates

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Discovering Turnaround Candidates


I find investing in turnaround stocks appealing for two main reasons. First, these stocks come with known issues. Our job as investors is to determine the company's value whether the problem remains or gets resolved.

Investing in Turnaround Stocks


Turnaround stocks are companies facing challenges, often temporary, and many investors shy away from them. I favor these stocks because their issues are already out in the open. Although more problems may surface, the significant ones have been disclosed, usually leading to a drop in share price.

Furthermore, expectations for turnaround stocks are low. The share price is already depressed, so the company doesn't need to surpass expectations with every earnings report. Instead, it simply needs to address the issues that caused the drop in the first place.

Spotting Turnaround Candidates


Scanning financial news can help identify potential turnaround candidates. Troubled companies often make the headlines. For instance, recent news about Pier 1 Imports Inc. (PIR) and Doral Financial (DRL) highlighted their struggles. While they are indeed facing issues, they may also represent turnaround opportunities.

Another useful tool is the list of stocks hitting their 52-week lows. These often include companies with problems, offering potential for recovery. For example, ATI Technologies Inc. (ATYT) recently traded near its 52-week low of $11.20.

What to Avoid


Avoid companies facing difficulties due to delays in financial reporting. Despite lower share prices, investing in companies with trust issues is risky and should be approached with caution.

Analyzing Potential Investments


Once you've identified a potential candidate, perform a thorough analysis to assess its fair value. Remember, not all companies recover, so consider this in your calculations. Calculating fair value is complex and outside the scope of this article, but a company's fair value is higher if it can overcome its current challenges.

In summary, investing in turnaround stocks requires careful analysis and a willingness to accept risks. However, the potential rewards can be significant if the company successfully navigates its way back to stability.

You can find the original non-AI version of this article here: Discovering Turnaround Candidates.

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